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Home prices methodology
by MATTHEW WAITE, Times Staff Writer
To calculate home prices, The St. Petersburg Times analyzed more than 260,000 individual sales of individual parcels of property between January 1998 and July of 2003.
Only qualified sales were used to calculate price trends. A qualified sale, also known as an arms length transaction, is one that does not involve, for example, personal or business relationships between buyer and seller that might have influenced the sale price.
Property appraiser's offices in Citrus, Hernando, Pasco, Pinellas and Hillsborough counties used deed paperwork to eliminate unqualified sales, although county officials warned that a small number of unqualified sales may have been inadvertently included.
The Times then culled from the database all vacant land.
The Times also obtained electronic maps of each parcel in the five county area from the property appraisers. Then, a combination of neighborhood association, census and Times-created maps were overlayed on to the parcel maps.
For the analysis, the Times used median prices. A median, like an average, is a measure of the statistical center. But unlike an average, which can be skewed disproportionately by extreme prices, a median is the point where half the numbers are above, and half are below.
To see the difference, think of a street with 10 homes. Four homes are worth $100,000, four are worth $200,000 and two are worth $1 million. The average home price on that block is $320,000, far higher than the vast majority of houses on the street. The median is $200,000, because it is the value that falls in the middle.
Most studies of home prices use medians instead of averages to limit the impact of extremely low and extremely high dollar sales.
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